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Le Moyne College/Zogby International
Latest Contemporary Catholic Trends Poll

American Catholics’ Attitudes About Next Pope:
Latin America, Africa top regions for next church leader;
half surveyed disagree with upholding celibacy and all-male priesthood


As part of its ongoing polling project to track American Catholics’ views on important issues, the latest findings from the Le Moyne College/Zogby International Contemporary Catholic Trends (CCT) have been released. The poll was conducted on April 6 and 7.

Next Pope’s Liberalism/Conservatism and Position on Issues

When asked whether the next pope should be more liberal, more conservative, or about the same as Pope John Paul II, a majority of American Catholics responded “about the same” (65%). However, nearly one-third (31%) believed that the next pope should be more liberal while only 3% answered more conservative. When asked about whether the next pope should continue some of Pope John Paul II’s specific positions, agreement varied by issue. Respondents were most in agreement with the continuation of criticism of the excesses of consumer society (78% agreed with 45% strongly agreeing), of criticism of the inequalities of global capitalism (80% agreed with 49% strongly agreeing), and of opposition to abortion (79% agreed with 64% strongly agreeing). However, American Catholics were split over the continued opposition to birth control, the upholding of the all-male priesthood, and the upholding of mandatory celibacy for the priesthood. This split is illustrated the following table:

 
Opposition to birth control
Uphold all-male priesthood
Uphold mandatory celibacy for priesthood
TOTAL AGREE
45.8%
47.0%
47.9%
Strongly agree
25.4%
30.7%
28.8%
Somewhat agree
20.4%
16.3%
19.1%
TOTAL DISAGREE
52.1%
50.2%
49.4%
Somewhat disagree
23.8%
25.6%
21.0%
Strongly disagree
28.3%
24.6%
28.4%

Regional Origin of Next Pope

When asked whether it would be good for the Church if the next pope came from particular regions, respondents had the highest agreement for a pope from Latin America (55%) or Africa (48%) and the lowest agreement for a pope from Italy (26%). However, levels of agreement for a pope from Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, or Canada/U.S. were very similar. The following table illustrates levels of agreement for all potential regional origins:

  Italy Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Asia Latin America Canada/U.S.
Strongly Agree
4.8%
6.7%
5.9%
15.8%
9.0%
20.6%
13.3%
Somewhat Agree
20.9%
30.4%
34.4%
31.9%
31.7%
34.2%
29.7%
Total
25.7%
37.1%
40.3%
47.7%
40.7%
54.8%
43.0%

Future of the Church

On the future of the Church, 63% of American Catholics say that the Church should be more democratic in its decision-making. This group is composed of 25% who strongly agree and 38% who somewhat agree. Nearly two-thirds (66%) of respondents believe that U.S. bishops are doing a good job of leading the American Church, though only slightly more than one-quarter of respondents (27%) strongly agreed.


Le Moyne College/Zogby International conducted interviews of 600 Roman Catholics nationwide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., April 6 through April 7. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Slight weights were added to region, age, race, and gender to more accurately reflect the Roman Catholic population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

 

 

 

 



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